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This research is funded by

FNRS ERC

Welcome ! I am a physicist and have been studying the climate system since 1998, with a focus on the climates of the Quaternary. The questions I am interested in concern the dynamics of the climate system. The challenge is to combine simulation methods with palaeoclimate observations with a statistical formalism. This project involves a bunch of new concepts and methods, and lead me to think about the role of climate simulation in climate modelling.

I am lecturing meteorology, climatology, mathematical geography and simulation methods.

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  • 03/01/2013 EGU 2013 : Deadline for submitting in CL4.4 January 9th ! : Session CL4.4 : Using paleoclimate modelling and data to learn about the future. Three paleoclimate intervals (Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and Last Millennium) are part of the Tier 1 and 2 experiments for the latest Climate Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). Several new paleodata syntheses have recently been published, and more are in preparation. This session will explore this exciting new opportunity for exploiting paleoclimate models and data together to inform on future climate changes. more...
  • 03/01/2013 EGU 2013 : Deadline for submitting in NP2.3/CL2.14 on January 9th ! : Session NP2.3 / CL2.14 : Climate sensitivity is a quantity that is extensively used to quantify the impact of increasing atmospheric CO2-concentrations on the global mean temperature. It cannot be measured directly but has to be estimated from observations of past climate states and/or climate models. more...
  • 03/01/2013 Progress in palaeoclimate modelling : deadline end of February : This primary aim of this Special Issue is to highlight research results from the third phase of the Paleoclimate Modelling Inter-comparison Project (PMIP3). The remit of PMIP has expanded beyond modelling snapshots of the mid Holocene at 6ka and Last Glacial Maximum. In this third phase of the project, the Last Millennium, the 8.2ka Event, the Last Interglacial and the Pliocene are included, and interests within the project extend to the Last Termination, and the Eocene. Papers that relate to modelling any of these intervals using one or more models are welcome. Those containing critical analysis of model performance compared to data, and exploring implications for future climate change are particularly encouraged. more...
  • 30/11/2012 Traditional and novel approaches to palaeoclimate modelling : Review article: we review three classical frameworks of climate modelling: conceptual, simulator-based (including general circulation models and Earth system models of intermediate complexity), and statistical more...
  • 08/06/2012 Is the astronomical forcing a reliable and unique pacemaker for climate? A conceptual model study : The horizon of predictability of ice ages may be less than you think. more...
  • 26/04/2012 PMIP3 meeting in Crewe : There will be several talks and poster of our groups (ITOP and EMIS). See you there more...
  • 25/04/2012 Why ice ages could be unpredictable in spite of the astronomical forcing? : Invited presentation at the European Geosciences Union conference more...
  • 28/02/2012 Devonian paper in climate of the Past : D. De Vleeschouwer, A. C. Da Silva, F. Boulvain, M. Crucifix, and P. Claeys, Precessional and half-precessional climate forcing of Mid-Devonian monsoon-like dynamics, Climate of the Past, 8, 337-351, 2012 more...
  • 19/02/2012 Particle filtre application to past climate reconstructions by Dubinkina et al : Testing a particle filter to reconstruct climate changes over the past centuries, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos more...
  • 05/02/2012 Oscillators in Pleistocene climate theory : A Review on 'oscillators in Pleistocene climate' out of press, available on the Royal Society Web Site at doi:10.1098/rsta.2011.0315 and on the arXiv website. more...
  • 03/02/2012 See you all at EGU2012 ! : See you all at EGU2012 ! Look at our 'Climate sensitivity session !' more...
  • 03/02/2012 Can a glacial inception be predicted : The Special Issue on the Early Anthropocene (The Holocene), W. Ruddiman, M. Crucifix, F. Oldfield (eds) is now out. Have a look ! In this special issue there is an article 'Can a glacial inception be predicted' which describes the Bayesian / dynamical modelling approach that I am developing. A free pre-print is available on the arxiv. more...
Michel Crucifix